Learning through Crowdfunding
File(s)RBC_MS_full_paper_with_appendix.pdf (862.57 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Chemla, Gilles
Tinn, Katrin
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We develop a model where reward-based crowdfunding enables Örms to obtain a reliableproof of concept early in their production cycle: they learn about total demand from a limitedsample of target consumers pre-ordering a new product. Learning from the crowdfunding samplecreates a valuable real option as Örms invest only if updated expectations about total demandis su¢ ciently high. This is particularly valuable for Örms facing a high degree of uncertaintyabout consumer preferences, such as developers of innovative consumer products. Learning alsoenables Örms to overcome moral hazard. The higher the funds raised, the lower the Örmsíincentives to divert them, provided third-party platforms limit the sample size by restrictingcampaign length. While the probability of campaign success decreases with sample size, theexpected funds raised are maximized at an intermediate sample size. Our results are consistentwith stylized facts and lead to new empirical implications.
Date Issued
2020-05
Date Acceptance
2018-12-11
Citation
Management Science, 2020, 66 (5), pp.1783-1801
ISSN
0025-1909
Publisher
INFORMS
Start Page
1783
End Page
1801
Journal / Book Title
Management Science
Volume
66
Issue
5
Copyright Statement
© 2019 INFORMS
Identifier
https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/10.1287/mnsc.2018.3278
Subjects
Social Sciences
Science & Technology
Technology
Management
Operations Research & Management Science
Business & Economics
reward-based crowdfunding
moral hazard
real options
learning
uncertainty
UNCERTAINTY
INFORMATION
Operations Research
08 Information and Computing Sciences
15 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-08-01