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  5. Uncertainty estimation with prediction-error circuits
 
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Uncertainty estimation with prediction-error circuits
File(s)
s41467-025-58311-6.pdf (2.07 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Hertäg, Loreen
Wilmes, Katharina A
Clopath, Claudia
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Neural circuits continuously integrate noisy sensory stimuli with predictions that often do not perfectly match, requiring the brain to combine these conflicting feedforward and feedback inputs according to their uncertainties. However, how the brain tracks both stimulus and prediction uncertainty remains unclear. Here, we show that a hierarchical prediction-error network can estimate both the sensory and prediction uncertainty with positive and negative prediction-error neurons. Consistent with prior hypotheses, we demonstrate that neural circuits rely more on predictions when sensory inputs are noisy and the environment is stable. By perturbing inhibitory interneurons within the prediction-error circuit, we reveal their role in uncertainty estimation and input weighting. Finally, we link our model to biased perception, showing how stimulus and prediction uncertainty contribute to the contraction bias.
Date Issued
2025-03-28
Date Acceptance
2025-03-17
Citation
Nature Communications, 2025, 16
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/119304
URL
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58311-6
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58311-6
ISSN
2041-1723
Publisher
Nature Portfolio
Journal / Book Title
Nature Communications
Volume
16
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2025 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
License URL
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/40155399
PII: 10.1038/s41467-025-58311-6
Subjects
Uncertainty
Models, Neurological
Animals
Interneurons
Neurons
Nerve Net
Brain
Humans
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Article Number
3036
Date Publish Online
2025-03-28
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