Why Anthropic Reasoning Cannot Predict Λ
File(s)0607227v2.pdf (123.33 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Starkman, GD
Trotta, R
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We revisit anthropic arguments purporting to explain the measured value of the cosmological constant.
We argue that different ways of assigning probabilities to candidate universes lead to totally different
anthropic predictions. As an explicit example, we show that weighting different universes by the total
number of possible observations leads to an extremely small probability for observing a value of equal
to or greater than what we now measure. We conclude that anthropic reasoning within the framework of
probability as frequency is ill-defined and that in the absence of a fundamental motivation for selecting
one weighting scheme over another the anthropic principle cannot be used to explain the value of , nor,
likely, any other physical parameters.
We argue that different ways of assigning probabilities to candidate universes lead to totally different
anthropic predictions. As an explicit example, we show that weighting different universes by the total
number of possible observations leads to an extremely small probability for observing a value of equal
to or greater than what we now measure. We conclude that anthropic reasoning within the framework of
probability as frequency is ill-defined and that in the absence of a fundamental motivation for selecting
one weighting scheme over another the anthropic principle cannot be used to explain the value of , nor,
likely, any other physical parameters.
Date Issued
2006-11-17
Date Acceptance
2006-07-17
Citation
Physical Review Letters, 2006, 97 (20)
ISSN
1079-7114
Publisher
American Physical Society
Journal / Book Title
Physical Review Letters
Volume
97
Issue
20
Copyright Statement
© 2006 The American Physical Society
Subjects
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Physics, Multidisciplinary
Physics
PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
COSMOLOGICAL CONSTANT
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
201301