Calibration, inversion and sensitivity analysis for hydro-morphodynamic models through the application of adjoint methods
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Published version
Author(s)
Clare, Mariana CA
Kramer, Stephan C
Cotter, Colin J
Piggott, Matthew D
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The development of reliable, sophisticated hydro-morphodynamic models is essential for protecting the coastal environment against hazards such as flooding and erosion. There exists a high degree of uncertainty associated with the application of these models, in part due to incomplete knowledge of various physical, empirical and numerical closure related parameters in both the hydrodynamic and morphodynamic solvers. This uncertainty can be addressed through the application of adjoint methods. These have the notable advantage that the number and/or dimension of the uncertain parameters has almost no effect on the computational cost associated with calculating the model sensitivities. Here, we develop the first freely available and fully flexible adjoint hydro-morphodynamic model framework. This flexibility is achieved through using the pyadjoint library, which allows us to assess the uncertainty of any parameter with respect to any model functional, without further code implementation. The model is developed within the coastal ocean model Thetis constructed using the finite element code-generation library Firedrake. We present examples of how this framework can perform sensitivity analysis, inversion and calibration for a range of uncertain parameters based on the final bedlevel. These results are verified using so-called dual-twin experiments, where the ‘correct’ parameter value is used in the generation of synthetic model test data, but is unknown to the model in subsequent testing. Moreover, we show that inversion and calibration with experimental data using our framework produces physically sensible optimum parameters and that these parameters always lead to more accurate results. In particular, we demonstrate how our adjoint framework can be applied to a tsunami-like event to invert for the tsunami wave from sediment deposits.
Date Issued
2022-06
Date Acceptance
2022-03-28
Citation
Computers and Geosciences, 2022, 163, pp.1-13
ISSN
0098-3004
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
1
End Page
13
Journal / Book Title
Computers and Geosciences
Volume
163
Copyright Statement
© 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
License URL
Sponsor
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0098300422000644?via%3Dihub
Grant Number
EP/R512540/1
Subjects
04 Earth Sciences
08 Information and Computing Sciences
09 Engineering
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
105104
Date Publish Online
2022-04-02