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  5. A parameter estimation method for multivariate binned Hawkes processes
 
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A parameter estimation method for multivariate binned Hawkes processes
File(s)
s11222-022-10121-2.pdf (524.43 KB)
Published version
Author(s)
Shlomovich, Leigh
Cohen, Edward
Adams, niall
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
It is often assumed that events cannot occur simultaneously when modelling data with point
processes. This raises a problem as real-world data
often contains synchronous observations due to aggregation or rounding, resulting from limitations on
recording capabilities and the expense of storing high
volumes of precise data. In order to gain a better understanding of the relationships between processes,
we consider modelling the aggregated event data using multivariate Hawkes processes, which offer a description of mutually-exciting behaviour and have
found wide applications in areas including seismology and finance. Here we generalise existing methodology on parameter estimation of univariate aggregated Hawkes processes to the multivariate case using a Monte Carlo Expectation-Maximization (MCEM) algorithm and through a simulation study illustrate that alternative approaches to this problem
can be severely biased, with the multivariate MCEM method outperforming them in terms of MSE in
all considered cases.
Date Issued
2022-12-01
Date Acceptance
2022-06-13
Citation
Statistics and Computing, 2022, 32 (6)
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/97479
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11222-022-10121-2
ISSN
0960-3174
Publisher
Springer
Journal / Book Title
Statistics and Computing
Volume
32
Issue
6
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2023. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
License URL
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN 98
Date Publish Online
2022-10-19
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