Models of trachoma transmission and their policy implications: from control to elimination
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Despite great progress in eliminating trachoma from the majority of worldwide districts, trachoma control seems to have stalled in some endemic districts. Can mathematical models help suggest the way forward? We review specific achievements of models in trachoma control in the past. Models showed that, even with incomplete coverage, mass drug administration could eliminate disease through a spillover effect, somewhat analogous to how incomplete vaccine campaigns can eliminate disease through herd protection. Models also suggest that elimination can always be achieved if enough people are treated often enough with an effective enough drug. Other models supported the idea that targeting ages at highest risk or continued improvements in hygiene and sanitation can contribute meaningfully to trachoma control. Models of intensive targeting of a core group may point the way to final eradication even in areas with substantial transmission and within-community heterogeneity.
Date Issued
2018-06-15
Date Acceptance
2018-06-01
Citation
Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2018, 66 (suppl_4), pp.S275-S280
ISSN
1058-4838
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Start Page
S275
End Page
S280
Journal / Book Title
Clinical Infectious Diseases
Volume
66
Issue
suppl_4
Copyright Statement
© 2018 The Author(s). Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000434116900006&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Immunology
Infectious Diseases
Microbiology
trachoma
Chlamydia trachomatis
WHO 2020 Goals
transmission models
mass drug administration
OCULAR CHLAMYDIA-TRACHOMATIS
CLUSTER-RANDOMIZED TRIAL
INFECTIOUS TRACHOMA
MASS TREATMENT
AZITHROMYCIN
CHILDREN
TANZANIA
DISTRIBUTIONS
PREVALENCE
RESISTANCE
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2018-06-01