The incubation period of hepatitis E genotype 1: insights from pooled analyses of travellers
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Hepatitis E virus genotype 1 (HEV G1) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality in Africa and Asia. HEV G1's natural history, including the incubation period, remains poorly understood, hindering surveillance efforts and effective control. Using individual-level data from 85 travel-related HEV G1 cases in England and Wales, we estimate the incubation period distribution using survival analysis methods, which allow for appropriate inference when only time ranges, rather than exact times are known for the exposure to HEV and symptom onset. We estimated a 29.8-day (95% confidence interval (CI) 24.1–36.0) median incubation period with 5% of people expected to develop symptoms within 14.3 days (95% CI 10.1–21.7) and 95% within 61.9 days (95% CI 47.4–74.4) of exposure. These estimates can help refine clinical case definitions and inform the design of disease burden and intervention studies.
Date Issued
2018-09-01
Date Acceptance
2018-04-09
Citation
Epidemiology and Infection, 2018, 146 (12), pp.1533-1536
ISSN
0950-2688
Publisher
Cambridge University Press
Start Page
1533
End Page
1536
Journal / Book Title
Epidemiology and Infection
Volume
146
Issue
12
Copyright Statement
© Cambridge University Press 2018. This is an
Open Access article, distributed under the
terms of the Creative Commons Attribution
licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/
by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use,
distribution, and reproduction in any medium,
provided the original work is properly cited.
Open Access article, distributed under the
terms of the Creative Commons Attribution
licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/
by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use,
distribution, and reproduction in any medium,
provided the original work is properly cited.
License URL
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000441862700007&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Infectious Diseases
Hepatitis E
HEV
incubation period
survival analysis
travellers
VIRAL-HEPATITIS
VIRUS
DISEASE
INFECTIONS
OUTBREAK
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2018-05-24