A sampling scheme for quantifying and benchmarking on time performance of urban bus transit
File(s)Bus_OTP_modelling_paper_TRA_proof_1223.pdf (1.86 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Singh, Ramandeep
Graham, Daniel J
Trompet, Mark
Barry, John
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
In this paper we use large-scale mass transit data to improve the journey time performance
measurement of urban bus systems. For low frequency bus services, the application of ontime performance (OTP) metrics, particularly the location and number of stops to sample,
varies greatly across operators, which can lead to biased estimates. In this paper, we aim to
address sampling disparity, and propose a new statistically robust sampling scheme to ensure
representative, non-biased, and comparable measurement of route level on time performance
(OTP) which enables the inclusion of operators with sparse data in benchmarking activities.
We use automated vehicle location data and analyse 59 unique low frequency route-direction
data sets from 9 international bus operators. Across all route-direction data sets, an average
of 28% of stops are required to be sampled under the defined sampling scheme to achieve a
95% confidence level of sampling the route-level mean within a ± 5% range of accuracy. By
including data on additional routes, the analysis can be further refined and generalised to
enable progressive improvement of inter-operator comparability and benchmarking.
measurement of urban bus systems. For low frequency bus services, the application of ontime performance (OTP) metrics, particularly the location and number of stops to sample,
varies greatly across operators, which can lead to biased estimates. In this paper, we aim to
address sampling disparity, and propose a new statistically robust sampling scheme to ensure
representative, non-biased, and comparable measurement of route level on time performance
(OTP) which enables the inclusion of operators with sparse data in benchmarking activities.
We use automated vehicle location data and analyse 59 unique low frequency route-direction
data sets from 9 international bus operators. Across all route-direction data sets, an average
of 28% of stops are required to be sampled under the defined sampling scheme to achieve a
95% confidence level of sampling the route-level mean within a ± 5% range of accuracy. By
including data on additional routes, the analysis can be further refined and generalised to
enable progressive improvement of inter-operator comparability and benchmarking.
Date Issued
2024-02
Date Acceptance
2023-12-12
Citation
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2024, 180
ISSN
0965-8564
Publisher
Elsevier
Journal / Book Title
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice
Volume
180
Copyright Statement
Copyright © Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2023.103945
Publication Status
Published
Rights Embargo Date
2025-01-21
Article Number
103945
Date Publish Online
2024-01-22