A market crash or tail risk? Heavy tails and asymmetry of returns in the Chinese Stock Market
File(s)XingIbragimovFinalFin.pdf (783.76 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Xing, Zeyu
Ibragimov, Rustam
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Rapid stock market growth without real economic back-up has led to the 2015 Chinese Stock Market Crash with thousands of stocks hitting the down limit simultaneously multiple times. We provide a detailed analysis of structural breaks in heavy-tailedness and asymmetry properties of returns in Chinese A-share markets due to the crash using recently proposed robust approaches to tail index inference. The empirical analysis points out to heavy-tailedness properties often implying possibly infinite second moments and gain/loss asymmetry for daily returns on individual stocks. We further present an analysis of the main determinants of heavy-tailedness in Chinese financial markets. It points out to liquidity and company size as being the most important factors affecting the returns’ heavy-tailedness properties. At the same time, we do not observe statistically significant differences in tail indices of the returns on A-shares and the coefficients on factors affecting them in the pre-crisis and post-crisis periods.
Date Issued
2023-04-24
Date Acceptance
2022-09-07
Citation
Advances in Econometrics, 2023, 45B, pp.181-205
ISSN
0731-9053
Publisher
Emerald Publishing Limited
Start Page
181
End Page
205
Journal / Book Title
Advances in Econometrics
Volume
45B
Copyright Statement
© 2023 Zeyu Xing and Rustam Ibragimov. Published by Emerald Publishing Limited.
Publication Status
Published