Uncertainty quantification of time-average quantities of chaotic systems using sensitivity-enhanced polynomial chaos expansion
File(s)PhysRevE.109.044208.pdf (1.73 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Kantarakias, Kyriakos D
Papadakis, George
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We consider the effect of multiple stochastic parameters on the time-average quantities of chaotic systems. We employ the recently proposed sensitivity-enhanced generalized polynomial chaos expansion, se-gPC, to quantify efficiently this effect. se-gPC is an extension of gPC expansion, enriched with the sensitivity of the time-averaged quantities with respect to the stochastic variables. To compute these sensitivities, the adjoint of the shadowing operator is derived in the frequency domain. Coupling the adjoint operator with gPC provides an efficient uncertainty quantification algorithm, which, in its simplest form, has computational cost that is independent of the number of random variables. The method is applied to the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation and is found to produce results that match very well with Monte Carlo simulations. The efficiency of the proposed method significantly outperforms sparse-grid approaches, such as Smolyak quadrature. These properties make the method suitable for application to other dynamical systems with many stochastic parameters.
Date Issued
2024-04-12
Date Acceptance
2024-03-19
Citation
Physical Review E, 2024, 109 (4)
ISSN
2470-0045
Publisher
American Physical Society
Journal / Book Title
Physical Review E
Volume
109
Issue
4
Copyright Statement
Published by the American Physical Society Published by the American Physical Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license. Further distribution of this work must maintain attribution to the author(s) and the published article's title, journal citation, and DOI.
License URL
Identifier
https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevE.109.044208
Subjects
DYNAMICAL-SYSTEMS
OPTIMIZATION
Physical Sciences
Physics
Physics, Fluids & Plasmas
Physics, Mathematical
Science & Technology
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
044208
Date Publish Online
2024-04-12