Clustered spatially and temporally resolved global heat and cooling energy demand in the residential sector
File(s)Moya_Diego_GIS.pdf (1.82 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Sachs, J
Moya, D
Giarola, S
Hawkes, A
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Climatic conditions, population density, geography, and settlement structure all have a strong influence on the heating and cooling demand of a country, and thus on resulting energy use and greenhouse gas emissions. In particular, the choice of heating or cooling system is influenced by available energy distribution infrastructure, where the cost of such infrastructure is strongly related to the spatial density of the demand. As such, a better estimation of the spatial and temporal distribution of demand is desirable to enhance the accuracy of technology assessment. This paper presents a Geographical Information System methodology combining the hourly NASA MERRA-2 global temperature dataset with spatially resolved population data and national energy balances to determine global high-resolution heat and cooling energy density maps. A set of energy density bands is then produced for each country using K-means clustering. Finally, demand profiles representing diurnal and seasonal variations in each band are derived to capture the temporal variability. The resulting dataset for 165 countries, published alongside this article, is designed to be integrated into a new integrated assessment model called MUSE (ModUlar energy systems Simulation Environment)but can be used in any national heat or cooling technology analysis. These demand profiles are key inputs for energy planning as they describe demand density and its fluctuations via a consistent method for every country where data is available.
Date Issued
2019-09-15
Date Acceptance
2019-05-01
Citation
Applied Energy, 2019, 250, pp.48-62
ISSN
0306-2619
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
48
End Page
62
Journal / Book Title
Applied Energy
Volume
250
Copyright Statement
© 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
Sponsor
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
SENESCYT
Universidad Técnica de Ambato, UTA
Grant Number
NE/N018656/1
CZ03-35-2017
1895-CU-P-2017 (Resolución HCU)
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Energy & Fuels
Engineering, Chemical
Engineering
Heat demand
Cooling demand
Spatially resolved
Temporally resolved
Energy systems
Integrated assessment
INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT
ELECTRICITY DEMAND
CLIMATE-CHANGE
BUILDING STOCK
SYSTEMS
MODEL
CONSUMPTION
MITIGATION
PATHWAYS
NUMBER
Energy
09 Engineering
14 Economics
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-05-09