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  4. QMLE: a methodology for statistical inference of service demands from queueing data
 
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QMLE: a methodology for statistical inference of service demands from queueing data
File(s)
main.pdf (622.19 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Wang, Weikun
Casale, G
Kattepur, Ajay
Nambiar, Manoj
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Estimating the demands placed by services on physical resources is an essential step for the
definition of performance models. For example, scalability analysis relies on these parameters to
predict queueing delays under increasing loads. In this paper, we investigate maximum likelihood
(ML) estimators for demands at load-independent and load-dependent resources in systems with
parallelism constraints. We define a likelihood function based on state measurements and derive
necessary conditions for its maximization. We then obtain novel estimators that accurately and
inexpensively obtain service demands using only aggregate state data. With our approach, and
also thanks to approximation methods for computing marginal and joint distributions for the
load-dependent case, confidence intervals can be rigorously derived, explicitly taking into account
both topology and concurrency levels of the services. Our estimators and their confidence intervals
are validated against simulations and real system measurements for two multi-tier applications,
showing high accuracy also in the presence of load-dependent resources.
Date Issued
2018-09-01
Date Acceptance
2018-06-15
Citation
ACM Transactions on Modeling and Performance Evaluation of Computing Systems, 2018, 3 (4)
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/61497
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.1145/3233180
ISSN
2376-3639
Publisher
ACM
Journal / Book Title
ACM Transactions on Modeling and Performance Evaluation of Computing Systems
Volume
3
Issue
4
Copyright Statement
© 2018 ACM. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of ACM for your personal use. Not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in PUBLICATION, ACM Transactions on Modeling and Performance Evaluation of Computing Systems, Volume 3 Issue 4, September 2018.
Sponsor
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Commission of the European Communities
Grant Number
EP/M009211/1
644869
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Computer Science, Information Systems
Computer Science
Estimation
service demand
maximum likelihood
queueing networks
MEAN-VALUE ANALYSIS
NETWORKS
SYSTEMS
CLOUD
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN 17
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