Efficient buyer groups for prediction-of-use electricity tariffs
OA Location
Author(s)
Robu, Valentin
Vinyals, Meritxell
Rogers, Alex
Jennings, Nicholas R
Type
Conference Paper
Abstract
Copyright © 2014, Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence.Current electricity tariffs do not reflect the real cost that customers incur to suppliers, as units are charged at the same rate, regardless of how predictable each customers consumption is. A recent proposal to address this problem are prediction-of-use tariffs. In such tariffs, a customer is asked in advance to predict her future consumption, and is charged based both on her actual consumption and the deviation from her prediction. Prior work (Vinyals et al. 2014) studied the cost game induced by a single such tariff, and showed customers would have an incentive to minimize their risk, by joining together when buying electricity as a grand coalition. In this work we study the efficient (i.e. cost-minimizing) structure of buying groups for the more realistic setting when multiple, competing prediction-of-use tariffs are available. We propose a polynomial time algorithm to compute efficient buyer groups, and validate our approach experimentally, using a large-scale data set of domestic electricity consumers in the UK.
Date Issued
2014
Citation
2014, pp.451-457
Start Page
451
End Page
457
Identifier
http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/364307/
Source
Proc. 28th Conf. on AI (AAAI)
Publication Status
Unpublished