Early identification of recurrent congestion in heterogeneous urban traffic
File(s)ITSC_Bath.pdf (2.36 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Zhu, Lin
Krishnan, Rajesh
Guo, Fangce
Polak, John
Sivakumar, Aruna
Type
Conference Paper
Abstract
Urban traffic congestion has become a criticalissue that not only affects the quality of daily lives but alsoharms the environment and economy. Traffic patterns arerecurrent in nature, so is congestion. However, little attentionhas been paid to the development of methods that wouldenable early warning of the formation of congestion and itspropagation. This paper proposes a method for automatedearly congestion detection operating over time horizons rangingfrom half an hour to three hours. The method uses a deeplearning technique, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), andadapts it to the specific context of urban roads. Empiricalresults are reported from a busy traffic corridor in the city ofBath. Comprehensive evaluation metrics, including DetectionRate, False Positive Rate and Mean Time to Detection, areused to evaluate the performance of the proposed methodcompared to more conventional machine learning methodsincluding Feed-forward Neural Network and Random Forest.The results indicate that recurrent congestion can indeed bepredicted before it occurs and demonstrates that CNN basedmethod offers superior detection accuracy compared to theconventional machine learning methods in this context.
Date Issued
2019-11-28
Date Acceptance
2019-10-30
Citation
2019, pp.1-6
Publisher
IEEE
Start Page
1
End Page
6
Copyright Statement
© 2019 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.
Identifier
https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8916966
Source
IEEE Intelligent Transportation Systems Conference - ITSC 2019
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Transportation Science & Technology
Transportation
NEURAL-NETWORK
PREDICTION
MODEL
Publication Status
Published
Start Date
2019-11-27
Finish Date
2019-10-30
Coverage Spatial
Auckland, New Zealand
Date Publish Online
2019-11-28