Incorporating dwelling mounds into induced seismic risk analysis for the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands
File(s)Kruiver2022_Article_IncorporatingDwellingMoundsInt.pdf (5.7 MB)
Published article
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
In order to inform decision-making regarding measures to mitigate the impact of induced seismicity in the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands, a comprehensive seismic risk model has been developed. Starting with gas production scenarios and the consequent reservoir compaction, the model generates synthetic earthquake catalogues which are deployed in Monte Carlo analyses, predicting ground motions at a buried reference rock horizon that are combined with nonlinear amplification factors to estimate response spectral accelerations at the surface. These motions are combined with fragility functions defined for the exposed buildings throughout the region to estimate damage levels, which in turn are transformed to risk in terms of injury through consequence functions. Several older and potentially vulnerable buildings are located on dwelling mounds that were constructed from soils and organic material as a flood defence. These anthropogenic structures are not included in the soil profile models used to develop the amplification factors and hence their influence has not been included in the risk analyses to date. To address this gap in the model, concerted studies have been identified to characterize the dwelling mounds. These include new shear-wave velocity measurements that have enabled dynamic site response analyses to determine the modification of ground shaking due to the presence of the mound. A scheme has then been developed to incorporate the dwelling mounds into the risk calculations, which included an assessment of whether the soil-structure interaction effects for buildings founded on the mounds required modification of the seismic fragility functions.
Date Issued
2022-01-01
Date Acceptance
2021-09-05
Citation
Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 2022, 20, pp.255-285
ISSN
1570-761X
Publisher
Springer
Start Page
255
End Page
285
Journal / Book Title
Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering
Volume
20
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2021. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
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Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
Physical Sciences
Engineering, Geological
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Engineering
Geology
Groningen
Induced seismicity
Seismic risk
Dwelling mounds
Terps
GROUND-MOTION MODEL
DEVELOPING FRAGILITY
CONSEQUENCE MODELS
HAZARD
SIMULATIONS
BUILDINGS
FRAMEWORK
HOLOCENE
AREA
Strategic, Defence & Security Studies
0403 Geology
0905 Civil Engineering
Publication Status
Accepted
Date Publish Online
2021-09-24