The mediating effect of air pollution on the association between meteorological factors and influenza-like illness in China
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Published version
OA Location
Author(s)
Yan, Qinling
Cheke, Robert A
Tang, Sanyi
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Purpose:
Although numerous studies have explored the complex relationship between air pollution, meteorological factors and respiratory infections, evidence for a mediating effect of air pollutants being involved in the association between meteorological factors and Influenza-like illness (ILI) is limited.
Methods:
Correlations among ILI cases, air pollutants and meteorological factors were examined with Pearson correlation analyses. Further, we formulated six candidate mediation models to explore the mediating effect of air pollutant on the association between meteorological factors and ILI infections.
Results:
The meteorological factors minimum temperature/maximum humidity moderated by maximum humidity/minimum temperature and pressure directly affect ILI infections, and that some of meteorological factors can also indirectly affect them through air pollutants. Increases in maximum humidity and minimum temperature can directly reduce the numbers of ILI cases, or indirectly reduce them by reducing the concentration of air pollutants.
Conclusion:
When the haze with low temperature, low humidity is forecasted by the meteorological agency, the environmental protection departments can take effective control measures to reduce the concentration of air pollutants, and public health departments should advocate human behavioral changes in order to mitigate and control ILI prevalence.
Although numerous studies have explored the complex relationship between air pollution, meteorological factors and respiratory infections, evidence for a mediating effect of air pollutants being involved in the association between meteorological factors and Influenza-like illness (ILI) is limited.
Methods:
Correlations among ILI cases, air pollutants and meteorological factors were examined with Pearson correlation analyses. Further, we formulated six candidate mediation models to explore the mediating effect of air pollutant on the association between meteorological factors and ILI infections.
Results:
The meteorological factors minimum temperature/maximum humidity moderated by maximum humidity/minimum temperature and pressure directly affect ILI infections, and that some of meteorological factors can also indirectly affect them through air pollutants. Increases in maximum humidity and minimum temperature can directly reduce the numbers of ILI cases, or indirectly reduce them by reducing the concentration of air pollutants.
Conclusion:
When the haze with low temperature, low humidity is forecasted by the meteorological agency, the environmental protection departments can take effective control measures to reduce the concentration of air pollutants, and public health departments should advocate human behavioral changes in order to mitigate and control ILI prevalence.
Date Issued
2025-02-08
Date Acceptance
2025-01-28
Citation
BMC Public Health, 2025, 25 (1)
ISSN
1471-2458
Publisher
BMC
Start Page
526
Journal / Book Title
BMC Public Health
Volume
25
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2025. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
License URL
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/39923020
PII: 10.1186/s12889-025-21651-5
Subjects
Air pollution
Influenza-like illness (ILI)
Mediating effect
Meteorological factors
Model selection
Humans
China
Influenza, Human
Air Pollution
Meteorological Concepts
Air Pollutants
Humidity
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Article Number
526
Date Publish Online
2025-02-08
