Speculative trading, prospect theory and transaction costs
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Published version
Author(s)
Tse, Alex SL
Zheng, Harry
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
A speculative agent with prospect theory preference chooses the optimal time to purchase and then to sell an indivisible risky asset to maximise the expected utility of the round-trip profit net of transaction costs. The optimisation problem is formulated as a sequential optimal stopping problem, and we provide a complete characterisation of the solution. Depending on the preference and market parameters, the optimal strategy can be “buy and hold”, “buy low, sell high”, “buy high, sell higher” or “no trading”. Behavioural preference and market friction interact in a subtle way which yields surprising implications on the agent’s trading patterns. For example, increasing the market entry fee does not necessarily curb speculative trading, but instead may induce a higher reference point under which the agent becomes more risk-seeking and in turn is more likely to trade.
Date Issued
2022-12-15
Date Acceptance
2022-10-05
Citation
Finance and Stochastics, 2022, 27, pp.49-96
ISSN
0949-2984
Publisher
Springer
Start Page
49
End Page
96
Journal / Book Title
Finance and Stochastics
Volume
27
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2022. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
License URL
Identifier
https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000898584600001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=a2bf6146997ec60c407a63945d4e92bb
Subjects
Social Sciences
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Business, Finance
Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications
Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods
Statistics & Probability
Business & Economics
Mathematics
Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences
Sequential optimal stopping
S-shaped utility
Transaction costs
Entry-and-exit strategies
REALIZATION UTILITY
EQUITY PREMIUM
BUY-LOW
CONSUMPTION
INVESTMENT
LIQUIDATION
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2022-12-15