Complete revascularization is associated with higher mortality in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction, multi-vessel disease and shock defined by hyperlactataemia: results from the Harefield Shock Registry incorporating explainable machine learning
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Author(s)
Tindale, Alexander
Cretu, Ioana
Meng, Hongying
Panoulas, Vasileios
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Aims:
Revascularization strategy for patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and multi-vessel disease varies according to the patient’s cardiogenic shock status, but assessing shock acutely can be difficult. This article examines the link between cardiogenic shock defined solely by a lactate of ≥2 mmol/L and mortality from complete vs. culprit-only revascularization in this cohort.
Methods and results:
Patients presenting with STEMI, multi-vessel disease without severe left main stem stenosis and a lactate ≥2 mmol/L between 2011 and 2021 were included. The primary endpoint was mortality at 30 days by revascularization strategy for shocked patients. Secondary endpoints were mortality at 1 year and over a median follow-up of 30 months. Four hundred and eight patients presented in shock. Mortality in the shock cohort was 27.5% at 30 days. Complete revascularization (CR) was associated with higher mortality at 30 days [odds ratio (OR) 2.1 (1.02–4.2), P = 0.043], 1 year [OR 2.4 (1.2–4.9), P = 0.01], and over 30 months follow-up [hazard ratio (HR) 2.2 (1.4–3.4), P < 0.001] compared with culprit lesion-only percutaneous coronary intervention (CLOP). Mortality was again higher in the CR group after propensity matching (P = 0.018) and inverse probability treatment weighting [HR 2.0 (1.3–3.0), P = 0.001]. Furthermore, explainable machine learning demonstrated that CR was behind only blood gas parameters and creatinine levels in importance for predicting 30-day mortality.
Conclusion:
In patients presenting with STEMI and multi-vessel disease in shock defined solely by a lactate of ≥2 mmol/L, CR is associated with higher mortality than CLOP.
Revascularization strategy for patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and multi-vessel disease varies according to the patient’s cardiogenic shock status, but assessing shock acutely can be difficult. This article examines the link between cardiogenic shock defined solely by a lactate of ≥2 mmol/L and mortality from complete vs. culprit-only revascularization in this cohort.
Methods and results:
Patients presenting with STEMI, multi-vessel disease without severe left main stem stenosis and a lactate ≥2 mmol/L between 2011 and 2021 were included. The primary endpoint was mortality at 30 days by revascularization strategy for shocked patients. Secondary endpoints were mortality at 1 year and over a median follow-up of 30 months. Four hundred and eight patients presented in shock. Mortality in the shock cohort was 27.5% at 30 days. Complete revascularization (CR) was associated with higher mortality at 30 days [odds ratio (OR) 2.1 (1.02–4.2), P = 0.043], 1 year [OR 2.4 (1.2–4.9), P = 0.01], and over 30 months follow-up [hazard ratio (HR) 2.2 (1.4–3.4), P < 0.001] compared with culprit lesion-only percutaneous coronary intervention (CLOP). Mortality was again higher in the CR group after propensity matching (P = 0.018) and inverse probability treatment weighting [HR 2.0 (1.3–3.0), P = 0.001]. Furthermore, explainable machine learning demonstrated that CR was behind only blood gas parameters and creatinine levels in importance for predicting 30-day mortality.
Conclusion:
In patients presenting with STEMI and multi-vessel disease in shock defined solely by a lactate of ≥2 mmol/L, CR is associated with higher mortality than CLOP.
Date Issued
2023-09
Date Acceptance
2023-06-06
Citation
European Heart Journal – Acute CardioVascular Care, 2023, 12 (9), pp.615-623
ISSN
2048-8726
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Start Page
615
End Page
623
Journal / Book Title
European Heart Journal – Acute CardioVascular Care
Volume
12
Issue
9
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits
non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits
non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com
Identifier
https://academic.oup.com/ehjacc/article/12/9/615/7194742
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2023-06-13