How can LNG-fuelled ships meet decarbonisation targets? An environmental and economic analysis
File(s)Accepted paper .pdf (815.33 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
International shipping faces strong challenges with new legally binding air quality regulations and a 50% decarbonisation target by 2050. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) is a widely used alternative to liquid fossil fuels, but methane emissions reduce its overall climate benefit. This study utilises new emissions measurements and supply-chain data to conduct a comprehensive environmental life cycle and cost assessment of LNG as a shipping fuel, compared to heavy fuel oil (HFO), marine diesel oil (MDO), methanol and prospective renewable fuels (hydrogen, ammonia, biogas and biomethanol). LNG gives improved air quality impacts, reduced fuel costs and moderate climate benefits compared to liquid fossil fuels, but with large variation across different LNG engine types. Methane slip from some engines is unacceptably high, whereas the best performing LNG engine offers up to 28% reduction in global warming potential when combined with the best-case LNG supply chain. Total methane emissions must be reduced to 0.8–1.6% to ensure climate benefit is realised across all timescales compared to current liquid fuels. However, it is no longer acceptable to merely match incumbent fuels; progress must be made towards decarbonisation targets. With methane emissions reduced to 0.5% of throughput, energy efficiency must increase 35% to meet a 50% decarbonisation target.
Date Issued
2021-07
Date Acceptance
2021-03-20
Citation
Energy, 2021, 227, pp.1-12
ISSN
0360-5442
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Start Page
1
End Page
12
Journal / Book Title
Energy
Volume
227
Copyright Statement
© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Sponsor
Shell Global Solutions International BV
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
Shell Global Solutions International BV
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544221007118?via%3Dihub
Grant Number
PO 4550182471
NE/N018656/1
PO: 4550182471 (Agr.N.PT77776)
Subjects
Energy
0913 Mechanical Engineering
0914 Resources Engineering and Extractive Metallurgy
0915 Interdisciplinary Engineering
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
120462
Date Publish Online
2021-03-27