On the 24th of December 2021, a meteoroid struck the martian surface, producing a 150-m wide crater and excavating the lowest-latitude water ice observed on Mars to date. Knowledge of the preimpact depth, thickness and lateral continuity of the excavated ice would provide new insight into past environmental changes such as temperature and humidity of the atmosphere. In this work, we use the iSALE3D shock physics code to simulate the crater formation and constrain both the impact parameters and the original location of excavated ice. Analysis of the distal ejecta pattern suggests that the impact angle was 20 ± 2.5° from horizontal. Based on a comparison of the simulated and observed crater morphology, we find the preimpact subsurface likely contained a stronger bedrock layer overlain by 15 m thick regolith layer. Our simulation results show that the ejected ice blocks visible in orbital images originated from shallow depths 3.2–11 m and from radii 30–60 m from the crater center. We conclude that the ice most likely originated from a massive ice layer at 3.2–11 m depth. The ice was likely also laterally discontinuous under the preimpact surface.