Revisiting causality using stochastics: 2. applications
File(s)CausalityApplications_v3.pdf (2.5 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Koutsoyiannis, Demetris
Onof, Christian
Christofidis, Antonis
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
In a companion paper, we develop the theoretical background of a stochastic approach to causality with the objective of formulating necessary conditions that are operationally useful in identifying or falsifying causality claims. Starting from the idea of stochastic causal systems, the approach extends it to the more general concept of hen-or-egg causality, which includes as special cases the classic causal, and the potentially causal and anti-causal systems. The framework developed is applicable to large-scale open systems, which are neither controllable nor repeatable. In this paper, we illustrate and showcase the proposed framework in a number of case studies. Some of them are controlled synthetic examples and are conducted as a proof of applicability of the theoretical concept, to test the methodology with a priori known system properties. Others are real-world studies on interesting scientific problems in geophysics, and in particular hydrology and climatology.
Date Issued
2022-05-25
Date Acceptance
2022-04-22
Citation
Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2022, 478 (2261)
ISSN
1364-5021
Publisher
The Royal Society
Journal / Book Title
Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
Volume
478
Issue
2261
Copyright Statement
© 2022 The Author(s)
Published by the Royal Society. All rights reserved.
Published by the Royal Society. All rights reserved.
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000803587400001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Science & Technology - Other Topics
causality
causal systems
stochastics
geophysics
hydrology
climate
VOSTOK ICE CORE
CYCLE
CO2
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN 20210836