Measuring the effective complexity of cosmological models
File(s)0602378v2.pdf (235.16 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Kunz, M
Trotta, R
Parkinson, DR
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We introduce a statistical measure of the effective model complexity, called the Bayesian complexity. We demonstrate that the Bayesian complexity can be used to assess how many effective parameters a set of data can support and that it is a useful complement to the model likelihood (the evidence) in model selection questions. We apply this approach to recent measurements of cosmic microwave background anisotropies combined with the Hubble Space Telescope measurement of the Hubble parameter. Using mildly noninformative priors, we show how the 3-year WMAP data improves on the first-year data by being able to measure both the spectral index and the reionization epoch at the same time. We also find that a nonzero curvature is strongly disfavored. We conclude that although current data could constrain at least seven effective parameters, only six of them are required in a scheme based on the ΛCDM concordance cosmology.
Date Issued
2006-07-01
Date Acceptance
2006-02-21
Citation
Physical Review D, 2006, 74 (2)
ISSN
1550-7998
Publisher
American Physical Society
Journal / Book Title
Physical Review D
Volume
74
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© 2006 The American Physical Society
Subjects
Science & Technology
Physical Sciences
Astronomy & Astrophysics
Physics, Particles & Fields
Physics
ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS
PHYSICS, PARTICLES & FIELDS
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
023503