Probabilistic models for integration error in the assessment of functional cardiac models
Author(s)
Oates, Chris J
Niederer, Steven
Lee, Angela
Briol, Francois-Xavier
Girolami, Mark
Type
Conference Paper
Abstract
This paper studies the numerical computation of integrals, representing estimates or predictions, over the output f(x) of a computational model with respect to a distribution p(dx) over uncertain inputs x to the model. For the functional cardiac models that motivate this work, neither f nor p possess a closed-form expression and evaluation of either requires ≈ 100 CPU hours, precluding standard numerical integration methods. Our proposal is to treat integration as an estimation problem, with a joint model for both the a priori unknown function f and the a priori unknown distribution p. The result is a posterior distribution over the integral that explicitly accounts for dual sources of numerical approximation error due to a severely limited computational budget. This construction is applied to account, in a statistically principled manner, for the impact of numerical errors that (at present) are confounding factors in functional cardiac model assessment.
Date Issued
2017-12-01
Date Acceptance
2017-09-01
Citation
Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2017, 2017, pp.110-118
ISSN
1049-5258
Publisher
NIPS Proceedings
Start Page
110
End Page
118
Journal / Book Title
Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems
Volume
2017
Copyright Statement
© 2017 Neural Information Processing Systems Foundation, Inc.
Identifier
https://papers.nips.cc/paper/6616-probabilistic-models-for-integration-error-in-the-assessment-of-functional-cardiac-models
Source
Neural Information Processing Systems
Subjects
1701 Psychology
1702 Cognitive Science
Publication Status
Published
Start Date
2017-12-04
Finish Date
2017-12-09
Coverage Spatial
Long Beach, California, USA