Role of primary and secondary care data in atrial fibrillation ascertainment: impact on risk factor associations, patient management, and mortality in UK Biobank
File(s)
Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Aims
Electronic healthcare records (EHR) are at the forefront of advances in epidemiological research emerging from large-scale population biobanks and clinical studies. Hospital admissions, diagnoses, and procedures (HADP) data are often used to identify disease cases. However, this may result in incomplete ascertainment of chronic conditions such as atrial fibrillation (AF), which are principally managed in primary care (PC). We examined the relevance of EHR sources for AF ascertainment, and the implications for risk factor associations, patient management, and outcomes in UK Biobank.
Methods and results
UK Biobank is a prospective study, with HADP and PC records available for 230 000 participants (to 2016). AF cases were ascertained in three groups: from PC records only (PC-only), HADP only (HADP-only), or both (PC + HADP). Conventional statistical methods were used to describe differences between groups in terms of characteristics, risk factor associations, ascertainment timing, rates of anticoagulation, and post-AF stroke and death. A total of 7136 incident AF cases were identified during 7 years median follow-up (PC-only: 22%, PC + HADP: 49%, HADP-only: 29%). There was a median lag of 1.3 years between cases ascertained in PC and subsequently in HADP. AF cases in each of the ascertainment groups had comparable baseline demographic characteristics. However, AF cases identified in hospital data alone had a higher prevalence of cardiometabolic comorbidities and lower rates of subsequent anticoagulation (PC-only: 44%, PC + HADP: 48%, HADP-only: 10%, P < 0.0001) than other groups. HADP-only cases also had higher rates of death [PC-only: 9.3 (6.8, 12.7), PC + HADP: 23.4 (20.5, 26.6), HADP-only: 81.2 (73.8, 89.2) events per 1000 person-years, P < 0.0001] compared to other groups.
Conclusion
Integration of data from primary care with that from hospital records has a substantial impact on AF ascertainment, identifying a third more cases than hospital records alone. However, about a third of AF cases recorded in hospital were not present in the primary care records, and these cases had lower rates of anticoagulation, as well as higher mortality from both cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular causes. Initiatives aimed at enhancing information exchange of clinically confirmed AF between healthcare settings have the potential to benefit patient management and AF-related outcomes at an individual and population level. This research underscores the importance of access and integration of de-identified comprehensive EHR data for a definitive understanding of patient trajectories, and for robust epidemiological and translational research into AF.
Electronic healthcare records (EHR) are at the forefront of advances in epidemiological research emerging from large-scale population biobanks and clinical studies. Hospital admissions, diagnoses, and procedures (HADP) data are often used to identify disease cases. However, this may result in incomplete ascertainment of chronic conditions such as atrial fibrillation (AF), which are principally managed in primary care (PC). We examined the relevance of EHR sources for AF ascertainment, and the implications for risk factor associations, patient management, and outcomes in UK Biobank.
Methods and results
UK Biobank is a prospective study, with HADP and PC records available for 230 000 participants (to 2016). AF cases were ascertained in three groups: from PC records only (PC-only), HADP only (HADP-only), or both (PC + HADP). Conventional statistical methods were used to describe differences between groups in terms of characteristics, risk factor associations, ascertainment timing, rates of anticoagulation, and post-AF stroke and death. A total of 7136 incident AF cases were identified during 7 years median follow-up (PC-only: 22%, PC + HADP: 49%, HADP-only: 29%). There was a median lag of 1.3 years between cases ascertained in PC and subsequently in HADP. AF cases in each of the ascertainment groups had comparable baseline demographic characteristics. However, AF cases identified in hospital data alone had a higher prevalence of cardiometabolic comorbidities and lower rates of subsequent anticoagulation (PC-only: 44%, PC + HADP: 48%, HADP-only: 10%, P < 0.0001) than other groups. HADP-only cases also had higher rates of death [PC-only: 9.3 (6.8, 12.7), PC + HADP: 23.4 (20.5, 26.6), HADP-only: 81.2 (73.8, 89.2) events per 1000 person-years, P < 0.0001] compared to other groups.
Conclusion
Integration of data from primary care with that from hospital records has a substantial impact on AF ascertainment, identifying a third more cases than hospital records alone. However, about a third of AF cases recorded in hospital were not present in the primary care records, and these cases had lower rates of anticoagulation, as well as higher mortality from both cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular causes. Initiatives aimed at enhancing information exchange of clinically confirmed AF between healthcare settings have the potential to benefit patient management and AF-related outcomes at an individual and population level. This research underscores the importance of access and integration of de-identified comprehensive EHR data for a definitive understanding of patient trajectories, and for robust epidemiological and translational research into AF.
Date Issued
2025-02-01
Date Acceptance
2024-11-10
Citation
Europace, 2025, 27 (2)
ISSN
1099-5129
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Journal / Book Title
Europace
Volume
27
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2025. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
License URL
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/39910980
PII: 8002954
Subjects
Ascertainment
Atrial fibrillation
Electronic healthcare records
Primary care
UK Biobank
Humans
Atrial Fibrillation
United Kingdom
Male
Female
Electronic Health Records
Risk Factors
Aged
Middle Aged
Prospective Studies
Secondary Care
Primary Health Care
Anticoagulants
Incidence
Biological Specimen Banks
Risk Assessment
Stroke
Time Factors
UK Biobank
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Article Number
euae291
Date Publish Online
2025-02-06