Personalized blood glucose prediction for Type 1 diabetes using evidential deep learning and meta-learning.
File(s)10.1109:TBME.2022.3187703.pdf (1.01 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Zhu, Taiyu
Li, Kezhi
Herrero, Pau
Georgiou, Pantelis
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The availability of large amounts of data from continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), together with the latest advances in deep learning techniques, have opened the door to a new paradigm of algorithm design for personalized blood glucose (BG) prediction in type 1 diabetes (T1D) with superior performance. However, there are several challenges that prevent the widespread implementation of deep learning algorithms in actual clinical settings, including unclear prediction confidence and limited training data for new T1D subjects. To this end, we propose a novel deep learning framework, Fast-adaptive and Confident Neural Network (FCNN), to meet these clinical challenges. In particular, an attention-based recurrent neural network is used to learn representations from CGM input and forward a weighted sum of hidden states to an evidential output layer, aiming to compute personalized BG predictions with theoretically supported model confidence. The model-agnostic meta-learning is employed to enable fast adaptation for a new T1D subject with limited training data. The proposed framework has been validated on three clinical datasets. In particular, for a dataset including 12 subjects with T1D, FCNN achieved a root mean square error of 18.64±2.60 mg/dL and 31.07±3.62 mg/dL for 30 and 60-minute prediction horizons, respectively, which outperformed all the considered baseline methods with significant improvements. These results indicate that FCNN is a viable and effective approach for predicting BG levels in T1D. The well-trained models can be implemented in smartphone apps to improve glycemic control by enabling proactive actions through real-time glucose alerts.
Date Issued
2023-01-01
Date Acceptance
2022-06-26
Citation
IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, 2023, 70 (1), pp.193-204
ISSN
0018-9294
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
Start Page
193
End Page
204
Journal / Book Title
IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering
Volume
70
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2022 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35776825
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
United States
Date Publish Online
2022-07-01