Pension underfunding and the expected return on pension assets: the impact of the 2008 financial crisis
File(s)MMP_2025vF.pdf (1 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Michaelides, Alexander
Milidonis, Andreas
Papakyriakou, Panayiotis
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We use the 2008 crisis as an exogenous shock to the pension funding status of U.S. corporate defined benefit (DB) pension plans to examine its impact on the assumption of the expected return on pension assets (ER). Contrary to prior literature, we find that DB pension plans transitioning from funded to underfunded status make expense-reducing assumptions by increasing their ER. We also document that the ER manipulation is larger for plans whose funding after 2008 drops significantly. The funding deterioration conservatively generates a 28–79 basis points increase in ER, reducing the pension accounting expense by about 5.23%–14.76% ($3.49 to $9.85 million). Our results are robust to controlling for the shock induced by the global financial crisis on corporate performance and other potential channels affecting ER.
Date Issued
2025-03-02
Date Acceptance
2025-02-05
Citation
Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2025
ISSN
0022-4367
Publisher
Wiley
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Risk and Insurance
Copyright Statement
© 2025 American Risk and Insurance Association published by Wiley. This is the author’s accepted manuscript made available under a CC-BY licence in accordance with Imperial’s Research Publications Open Access policy (www.imperial.ac.uk/oa-policy)
License URL
Publication Status
Published online
Date Publish Online
2025-03-02