Excess child mortality after discharge from hospital in kilifi, Kenya: a retrospective cohort analysis [Surmortalité infantile après la sortie de l’hôpital de kilifi, au kenya: une analyse de cohorte rétrospective]
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Objective
To explore excess paediatric mortality after discharge from Kilifi District Hospital, Kenya, and its duration and risk factors.
Methods
Hospital and demographic data were used to describe post-discharge mortality and survival probability in children aged < 15 years, by age group and clinical syndrome. Cox regression models were developed to identify risk factors.
Findings
In 2004–2008, approximately 111 000 children were followed for 555 000 person–years. We analysed 14 971 discharges and 535 deaths occurring within 365 days of discharge. Mortality was higher in the post-discharge cohort than in the community cohort (age-adjusted rate ratio, RR: 7.7; 95% confidence interval, CI: 6.6–8.9) and declined little over time. An increased post-discharge mortality hazard was found in children aged < 5 years with the following: weight-for-age Z score < −4 (hazard ratio, HR: 6.5); weight-for-age Z score > −4 but < −3 (HR: 3.4); hypoxia (HR: 2.3); bacteraemia (HR: 1.8); hepatomegaly (HR: 2.3); jaundice (HR: 1.8); hospital stay > 13 days (HR: 1.8). Older age was protective (reference < 1 month): 6–23 months, HR: 0.8; 2–4 years, HR: 0.6. Children with at least one risk factor accounted for 545 (33%) of the 1655 annual discharges and for 39 (47%) of the 83 discharge-associated deaths.
Conclusion
Hospital admission selects vulnerable children with a sustained increased risk of dying. The risk factors identified provide an empiric basis for effective outpatient follow-up.
To explore excess paediatric mortality after discharge from Kilifi District Hospital, Kenya, and its duration and risk factors.
Methods
Hospital and demographic data were used to describe post-discharge mortality and survival probability in children aged < 15 years, by age group and clinical syndrome. Cox regression models were developed to identify risk factors.
Findings
In 2004–2008, approximately 111 000 children were followed for 555 000 person–years. We analysed 14 971 discharges and 535 deaths occurring within 365 days of discharge. Mortality was higher in the post-discharge cohort than in the community cohort (age-adjusted rate ratio, RR: 7.7; 95% confidence interval, CI: 6.6–8.9) and declined little over time. An increased post-discharge mortality hazard was found in children aged < 5 years with the following: weight-for-age Z score < −4 (hazard ratio, HR: 6.5); weight-for-age Z score > −4 but < −3 (HR: 3.4); hypoxia (HR: 2.3); bacteraemia (HR: 1.8); hepatomegaly (HR: 2.3); jaundice (HR: 1.8); hospital stay > 13 days (HR: 1.8). Older age was protective (reference < 1 month): 6–23 months, HR: 0.8; 2–4 years, HR: 0.6. Children with at least one risk factor accounted for 545 (33%) of the 1655 annual discharges and for 39 (47%) of the 83 discharge-associated deaths.
Conclusion
Hospital admission selects vulnerable children with a sustained increased risk of dying. The risk factors identified provide an empiric basis for effective outpatient follow-up.
Date Issued
2011-10-01
Date Acceptance
2011-07-03
Citation
Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 2011, 89 (10), pp.725-732A
ISSN
0042-9686
Publisher
World Health Organization
Start Page
725
End Page
732A
Journal / Book Title
Bulletin of the World Health Organization
Volume
89
Issue
10
Copyright Statement
Copyright (c) World Health Organization (WHO) 2011. All rights reserved.
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3209982/
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2011-07-13