Relationships between Human Population Density and Burned Area at Continental and Global Scales
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We explore the large spatial variation in the relationship between population density and burned area, using
continental-scale Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) based on 13 years of satellite-derived burned area
maps from the global fire emissions database (GFED) and the human population density from the gridded population
of the world (GPW 2005). Significant relationships are observed over 51.5% of the global land area, and the area
affected varies from continent to continent: population density has a significant impact on fire over most of Asia and
Africa but is important in explaining fire over < 22% of Europe and Australia. Increasing population density is
associated with both increased and decreased in fire. The nature of the relationship depends on land-use: increasing
population density is associated with increased burned are in rangelands but with decreased burned area in
croplands. Overall, the relationship between population density and burned area is non-monotonic: burned area
initially increases with population density and then decreases when population density exceeds a threshold. These
thresholds vary regionally. Our study contributes to improved understanding of how human activities relate to burned
area, and should contribute to a better estimate of atmospheric emissions from biomass burning.
continental-scale Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) based on 13 years of satellite-derived burned area
maps from the global fire emissions database (GFED) and the human population density from the gridded population
of the world (GPW 2005). Significant relationships are observed over 51.5% of the global land area, and the area
affected varies from continent to continent: population density has a significant impact on fire over most of Asia and
Africa but is important in explaining fire over < 22% of Europe and Australia. Increasing population density is
associated with both increased and decreased in fire. The nature of the relationship depends on land-use: increasing
population density is associated with increased burned are in rangelands but with decreased burned area in
croplands. Overall, the relationship between population density and burned area is non-monotonic: burned area
initially increases with population density and then decreases when population density exceeds a threshold. These
thresholds vary regionally. Our study contributes to improved understanding of how human activities relate to burned
area, and should contribute to a better estimate of atmospheric emissions from biomass burning.
Date Issued
2013-12-16
Date Acceptance
2013-10-11
Citation
PLOS ONE, 2013, 8 (12)
ISSN
1932-6203
Publisher
PUBLIC LIBRARY OF SCIENCE
Journal / Book Title
PLOS ONE
Volume
8
Issue
12
Copyright Statement
© 2013 Bistinas et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits
unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000328735700004&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Science & Technology - Other Topics
FIRE REGIMES
CLIMATE-CHANGE
REGRESSION
BIOMASS
AFRICA
ECOSYSTEMS
VEGETATION
EMISSIONS
PRODUCTS
WILDFIRE
Biomass
Climate
Ecosystem
Fires
Humans
Population Density
MD Multidisciplinary
General Science & Technology
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
ARTN e81188