Supporting small firms through recessions and recoveries
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Published version
Author(s)
Custodio, Claudia
Bonfim, Diana
Raposo, Clara
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We use variation in the access to a government credit certification program to estimate the financial and real effects of supporting small firms. This program was first implemented during the global financial crisis, but has remained active ever since, allowing us to analyze its effects both during recessions and recoveries. Eligible firms have access to government loan guarantees and a credit quality certification. We estimate real effects using a multidimensional regression discontinuity design. We find that eligible firms borrow more and at lower rates than non-eligible firms, allowing them to increase investment and employment during crises. Industry-level analysis shows reduced productivity heterogeneity in more exposed industries, which is consistent with improved credit allocation. However, when the economy is recovering the effects of the program are less pronounced and centered on the certification component. The cost-per-job in the recovery period is half of the one estimated for the crisis period (5784€ and 11,788€, respectively).
Date Issued
2023-03
Date Acceptance
2023-01-23
Citation
Journal of Financial Economics, 2023, 147 (3), pp.658-688
ISSN
0304-405X
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
658
End Page
688
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Financial Economics
Volume
147
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304405X23000144
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2023-02-13