Lebanon: from dollars to lollars
File(s)
Author(s)
Baz, Salim
Cathcart, Lara
Michaelides, Alexandros
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
What were the policies that created one of the world's largest financial and economic crisis (as a percent of GDP) in Lebanon in the early 2020s? An artificially strong currency peg created a consumption boom financed by government debt and international capital flows/remittances, exposing both the public and private sector to classic currency mismatch vulnerabilities. Moreover, a volatile deposit growth through international remittances created banking risks that both a government and a central bank needed to manage. High deposit growth resulted in large banks that invested in high interest-bearing USD deposits at the central bank. The central bank financed government debt, exposing the banking sector to sovereign debt. A worsening international economic environment and political fractionalization in a geopolitically sensitive region exacerbated the classic delays arising from taking difficult burden-sharing, distributional decisions to address the financial crisis.
Date Issued
2025-04-01
Date Acceptance
2025-03-10
Citation
International Finance, 2025, 28 (1), pp.37-63
ISSN
1367-0271
Publisher
Wiley
Start Page
37
End Page
63
Journal / Book Title
International Finance
Volume
28
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2025 The Author(s). International Finance published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
License URL
Identifier
10.1111/infi.12459
Subjects
central banks
currency mismatch
currency pegs
financial crises
macroeconomic imbalances
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2025-03-30