Modelling spatial heteroskedasticity by volatility modulated moving averages
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Accepted version
Author(s)
Nguyen, M
Veraart, A
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Spatial heteroskedasticity has been observed in many spatial data applications such as air pollution and vegetation. We propose a model, the volatility modulated moving average, to account for changing variances across space. This stochastic process is driven by Gaussian noise and involves a stochastic volatility field. It is conditionally non-stationary but unconditionally stationary: a useful property for theory and practice. We develop a discrete convolution algorithm as well as a two-step moments-matching estimation method for simulation and inference respectively. These are tested via simulation experiments and the consistency of the estimators is proved under suitable double asymptotics. To illustrate the advantages that this model has over the usual Gaussian moving average or process convolution, sea surface temperature anomaly data from the International Research Institute for Climate and Society are analysed.
Date Issued
2017-04-04
Date Acceptance
2017-03-28
Citation
Spatial Statistics, 2017, 20, pp.148-190
ISSN
2211-6753
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
148
End Page
190
Journal / Book Title
Spatial Statistics
Volume
20
Copyright Statement
© 2017Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. This manuscript is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Sponsor
Commission of the European Communities
Imperial College London
Grant Number
FP7-PEOPLE-2012-CIG-321707
Publication Status
Published