Priorities for modelling arbovirus transmission under climate change
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Published version
Author(s)
Dorigatti, Ilaria
Gaythorpe, Katy AM
Cox, Victoria M
Windram, Francis A
Cator, Lauren
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The transmission potential of arboviruses is extremely sensitive to environmental conditions. This sensitivity is due to both their intimate relationship with ectothermic vectors and, in many cases, also to the involvement of multiple host species in zoonotic transmission cycles. Here, we review how climate change will alter the transmission ecology and risk of these important infections. The challenge of predicting how climate change will impact these systems is daunting, but the need for tools to manage arbovirus risk under climate change is urgent and imperative. We argue that the development of climate-driven mechanistic models of disease transmission informed by empirical surveillance data is urgently needed to inform future responses and for generating the evidence that policy needs to tackle this global public health risk.
Date Issued
2025-10-01
Date Acceptance
2025-06-01
Citation
Trends in Molecular Medicine, 2025, 31 (10), pp.885-894
ISSN
1471-4914
Publisher
Cell Press
Start Page
885
End Page
894
Journal / Book Title
Trends in Molecular Medicine
Volume
31
Issue
10
Copyright Statement
© 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
License URL
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/40527633
PII: S1471-4914(25)00121-2
Subjects
Biochemistry & Molecular Biology
BLUETONGUE
Cell Biology
DENGUE
DIPTERA-CULICIDAE
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Medicine, Research & Experimental
Research & Experimental Medicine
RISK
Science & Technology
TICKS
VIRUS
WOLBACHIA
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Date Publish Online
2025-06-17
