HyperTraPS: Inferring probabilistic patterns of trait acquisition in evolutionary and disease progression pathways
File(s)Sam_Iain_hypertraps_accepted.pdf (7.77 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Greenbury, Sam
Barahona, Mauricio
Johnston, Iain
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The explosion of data throughout the biomedical sciences provides unprecedented opportunities to learn about the dynamics of evolution and disease progression, but harnessing these large and diverse datasets remains challenging. Here, we describe a highly generalisable statistical platform to infer the dynamic pathways by which many, potentially interacting, discrete traits are acquired or lost over time in biomedical systems. The platform uses HyperTraPS (hypercubic transition path sampling) to learn progression pathways from cross-sectional, longitudinal, or phylogenetically-linked data with unprecedented efficiency, readily distinguishing multiple competing pathways, and identifying the most parsimonious mechanisms underlying given observations. Its Bayesian structure quantifies uncertainty in pathway structure and allows interpretable predictions of behaviours, such as which symptom a patient will acquire next. We exploit the model’s topology to provide visualisation tools for intuitive assessment of multiple, variable pathways. We apply the method to ovarian cancer progression and the evolution of multidrug resistance in tuberculosis, demonstrating its power to reveal previously undetected dynamic pathways.
Date Issued
2020-01-22
Date Acceptance
2019-10-26
Citation
Cell Systems, 2020, 10 (1), pp.39-51
ISSN
2405-4712
Publisher
Elsevier (Cell Press)
Start Page
39
End Page
51
Journal / Book Title
Cell Systems
Volume
10
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. This manuscript is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Sponsor
Engineering & Physical Science Research Council (EPSRC)
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405471219303850?via%3Dihub
Grant Number
EP/N014529/1
Subjects
Bayesian inference
HyperTraPS
cancer progression models
disease pathways
drug resistance
phylogenetic character mapping
precision healthcare
trait evolution
q-bio.QM
q-bio.QM
q-bio.GN
stat.ME
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-11-27