Detailed simulation of electrical demands due to nationwide adoption of heat pumps, taking account of renewable generation and mitigation
File(s)Electrical_demands_due_to_heat_pumps.pdf (896.55 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Cooper, SJG
Hammond, GP
McManus, MC
Pudjianto, D
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
This study quantifies the increase in the peak power demand, net of non-dispatchable generation, that may be required by widespread adoption of heat pumps. Electrification of heating could reduce emissions but also cause a challenging increase in peak power demand. This study expands on previous studies by quantifying the increase in greater detail; considering a wider range of scenarios, the characteristics of heat pumps and the interaction between wind generation and demand side management (DSM). A model was developed with dynamic simulations of individual heat pumps and dwellings. The increase in peak net-demand is highly sensitive to assumptions regarding the heat pumps, their installation, building fabric and the characteristics of the grid. If 80% of dwellings in the UK use heat pumps, peak net-demand could increase by around 100% (54 GW) but this increase could be mitigated to 30% (16 GW) by favourable conditions. DSM could reduce this increase to 20%, or 15% if used with extensive thermal storage. If 60% of dwellings use heat pumps, the increase in peak net-demand could be as low as 5.5 GW. High-performance heat pumps, appropriate installation and better insulated dwellings could make the increase in peak net-demand due to the electrification of heating more manageable.
Date Issued
2016-02-25
Date Acceptance
2016-02-01
Citation
IET Renewable Power Generation, 2016, 10 (3), pp.380-387
ISSN
1752-1416
Publisher
Institution of Engineering and Technology
Start Page
380
End Page
387
Journal / Book Title
IET Renewable Power Generation
Volume
10
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© 2016 Institution of Engineering and Technology. This paper is a postprint of a paper submitted to and accepted for publication in IET Renewable Power Generation and is subject to Institution of Engineering and Technology Copyright. The copy of record is available at IET Digital Library.
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000371789100011&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Technology
GREEN & SUSTAINABLE SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Energy & Fuels
Engineering, Electrical & Electronic
Science & Technology - Other Topics
Engineering
heat pumps
wind power
demand side management
power engineering computing
thermal energy storage
detailed electrical demand simulation
nationwide adoption
high-performance heat pumps
renewable generation
renewable mitigation
non dispatchable generation
heating electrification
emission reduction
peak power demand
wind generation
DSM
peak net-demand
thermal storage
TRANSITION PATHWAYS
POWER-FLOW
PARTICIPATION
REQUIREMENTS
PERFORMANCE
BUILDINGS
SYSTEMS
IMPACT
FUTURE
MODEL
Energy
0906 Electrical And Electronic Engineering
Publication Status
Published