Methods for approximating stochastic evolutionary dynamics on graphs
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Published version
Author(s)
Overton, Christopher E
Broom, Mark
Hadjichrysanthou, Christoforos
Sharkey, Kieran J
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Population structure can have a significant effect on evolution. For some systems with sufficient symmetry, analytic results can be derived within the mathematical framework of evolutionary graph theory which relate to the outcome of the evolutionary process. However, for more complicated heterogeneous structures, computationally intensive methods are required such as individual-based stochastic simulations. By adapting methods from statistical physics, including moment closure techniques, we first show how to derive existing homogenised pair approximation models and the exact neutral drift model. We then develop node-level approximations to stochastic evolutionary processes on arbitrarily complex structured populations represented by finite graphs, which can capture the different dynamics for individual nodes in the population. Using these approximations, we evaluate the fixation probability of invading mutants for given initial conditions, where the dynamics follow standard evolutionary processes such as the invasion process. Comparisons with the output of stochastic simulations reveal the effectiveness of our approximations in describing the stochastic processes and in predicting the probability of fixation of mutants on a wide range of graphs. Construction of these models facilitates a systematic analysis and is valuable for a greater understanding of the influence of population structure on evolutionary processes.
Date Issued
2019-05-07
Date Acceptance
2019-02-13
Citation
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2019, 468, pp.45-59
ISSN
0022-5193
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
45
End Page
59
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Theoretical Biology
Volume
468
Copyright Statement
©2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an
open access article under the CC-BY license.
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
open access article under the CC-BY license.
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30772340
PII: S0022-5193(19)30072-4
Subjects
Evolutionary graph theory
Fixation probability
Markov process
Moment closure
Network
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Date Publish Online
2019-02-14