Do carbon prices affect stock prices?
File(s)Bolton et al.pdf (1.53 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Bolton, Patrick
Lam, Adrian
Muuls, Mirabelle
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We explore how carbon pricing affects corporate financial performance during Phase 3 of the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS). We find that the relationship between carbon prices and stock prices depends critically on the proportion of verified emissions covered by freely allocated ETS allowances: For firms with a greater shortfall in emissions allowances (a greater permit coverage), an increase in daily carbon prices is associated with a decrease (increase) in contemporaneous stock prices. We provide additional evidence that firms with a significant permit shortfall reduce verified emissions in the EU, with no apparent carbon-leakage.
Date Acceptance
2025-05-02
Citation
Journal of Financial Research
ISSN
0270-2592
Publisher
Wiley
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Financial Research
Copyright Statement
Subject to copyright. This paper is embargoed until publication. Once published the author’s accepted manuscript will be made available under a CC-BY License in accordance with Imperial’s Research Publications Open Access policy (www.imperial.ac.uk/oa-policy).
License URL
Publication Status
Accepted