On discount rates for economic evaluations in global health
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Published version
Author(s)
Haacker, Markus
Hallett, Timothy
Atun, Rifat
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Choices on discount rates have important implications for the outcomes of economic evaluations of health interventions and policies. In global health, such evaluations typically apply a discount rate of 3 percent for health outcomes and costs, mirroring guidance developed for high‐income countries, notably the United States.The paper investigates the suitability of thes eguidelines for global health (i.e.,with a focus on low‐ and middle‐income countries), and seeks to identify best practice. Our analysis builds on an overview of the academic literature on discounting in health evaluations, existing academic or government‐related guidelines on discounting, are view on discount rates applied in economic evaluations in global health, and cross‐country macroeconomic data. The social discount rate generally applied in global health of 3 percent annually is in consistent with rates of economic growth experienced outside the most advanced economies. Forlow‐ and lower‐middle income countries, a discount rate of at least 5 percent is more appropriate, and one around 4 percent for upper‐middle income countries. Alternative approaches–e.g., motivated by the returns to alternative investments or by the cost of financing–could usefully be applied, dependent on policy context. The current practise could lead to systematic bias toward over‐valuing the future costs and health benefits of interventions. For health economic evaluations in global health, guidelines on discounting need to be adapted to take account of the different economic context of low‐ and middle‐income countries.
Date Issued
2020-02
Date Acceptance
2019-09-11
Citation
Health Policy and Planning, 2020, 35 (1), pp.107-114
ISSN
0268-1080
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Start Page
107
End Page
114
Journal / Book Title
Health Policy and Planning
Volume
35
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com
Sponsor
Medical Research Council (MRC)
Identifier
https://academic.oup.com/heapol/article/35/1/107/5591528
Grant Number
MR/R015600/1
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Health Care Sciences & Services
Health Policy & Services
Discount rates
global health
cost-effectiveness analysis
benefit-cost analysis
economic growth
low-income countries
middle-income countries
COST-EFFECTIVENESS
RECOMMENDATIONS
BENEFIT
PANEL
Discount rates
benefit-cost analysis
cost-effectiveness analysis
economic growth
global health
low-income countries
middle-income countries
Health Policy & Services
1117 Public Health and Health Services
1605 Policy and Administration
1606 Political Science
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2019-10-18