An assessment of potential unintended consequences following a national antimicrobial stewardship programme in England: an interrupted time series analysis
File(s)ciy904.pdf (1.4 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Balinskaite, Violeta
Bou-Antoun, Sabine
Johnson, Alan P
Holmes, Alison
Aylin, Paul
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Background: The 'Quality Premium' (QP) introduced in England in 2015 aimed to financially reward local healthcare commissioners for targeted reductions in primary care antibiotic prescribing. We aimed to evaluate possible unintended clinical outcomes related to this QP. Methods: Using Clinical Practice Research Datalink and Hospital Episode Statistics datasets, we examined general practitioner (GP) consultations (visits) and emergency hospital admissions related to a series of pre-defined conditions of unintended consequences of reduced prescribing. Monthly age and sex-standardised rates were calculated using a direct method of standardisation. We used segmented regression analysis of interrupted time series to evaluate the impact of the QP on seasonally adjusted outcome rates. Results: We identified 27,334 GP consultations and over five million emergency hospital admissions with pre-defined conditions. There was no evidence that the QP was associated with changes in GP consultation and hospital admission rates for the selected conditions combined. However, when each condition was considered separately, a significant increase in hospital admission rates was noted for quinsy, and significant decreases were seen for hospital-acquired pneumonia, scarlet fever, pyelonephritis and complicated urinary tract conditions. A significant decrease in GP consultation rates was estimated for empyema and scarlet fever. No significant changes were observed for other conditions. Conclusions: Findings from this study show that overall there was no significant association between the intervention and unintended clinical consequences, with the exception of a few specific conditions, most of which could be explained through other parallel policy changes or should be interpreted with caution due to small numbers.
Date Issued
2019-07-15
Date Acceptance
2018-10-15
Citation
Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2019, 69 (2), pp.233-242
ISSN
1058-4838
Publisher
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Start Page
233
End Page
242
Journal / Book Title
Clinical Infectious Diseases
Volume
69
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© 2018 The Author(s). Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. This is a pre-copy-editing, author-produced version of an article accepted for publication in Clinical Infectious Diseases following peer review. The definitive publisher-authenticated version will be available online at: https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciy904
Sponsor
DOH Policy Research Programme
National Institute for Health Research
National Institute for Health Research
National Institute for Health Research
Dr Foster Intelligence
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30339254
PII: 5136397
Grant Number
HPRU-2012-10047
HPRU-2012-10047
n/a
WPPA_P72388
Subjects
antibiotic prescribing
antimicrobial stewardship programs
interrupted time series
primary and secondary care
unintended consequences
Microbiology
06 Biological Sciences
11 Medical and Health Sciences
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
United States
Article Number
ciy904
Date Publish Online
2018-10-18