Weak liquid water path response in ship tracks
File(s)acp-24-13269-2024.pdf (1.31 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Tippett, A
Gryspeerdt, E
Manshausen, P
Stier, P
Smith, TWP
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
The assessment of aerosol–cloud interactions remains a major source of uncertainty in understanding climate change, partly due to the difficulty in making accurate observations of aerosol impacts on clouds. Ships can release large numbers of aerosols that serve as cloud condensation nuclei, which can create artificially brightened clouds known as ship tracks. These aerosol emissions offer a “natural”, or “opportunistic”, experiment to explore aerosol effects on clouds, while also disentangling meteorological influences. Utilizing ship positions and reanalysis wind fields, we predict ship track locations, colocating them with satellite data to depict the temporal evolution of cloud properties after an aerosol perturbation. Repeating our analysis for a null experiment does not necessarily recover zero signal as expected; instead, it reveals subtleties between different null-experiment methodologies. This study uncovers a systematic bias in prior ship track research, due to the assumption that background gradients will, on average, be linear. We correct for this bias, which is linked to the correlation between wind fields and cloud properties, to reveal the true ship track response. We find that, once this bias is corrected for, the liquid water path (LWP) response after an aerosol perturbation is weak on average. This has important implications for estimates of radiative forcings due to LWP adjustments, as previous responses in unstable cases were overestimated. A noticeable LWP response is only recovered in specific cases, such as marine stratocumulus clouds, where a positive LWP response is found in precipitating or clean clouds. This work highlights subtleties in the analysis of isolated opportunistic experiments, reconciling differences in the LWP response to aerosols reported in previous studies.
Date Issued
2024-12-02
Date Acceptance
2024-10-01
ISSN
1680-7316
Publisher
Copernicus Publications
Start Page
13269
End Page
13283
Journal / Book Title
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Volume
24
Issue
23
Copyright Statement
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
License URI
Identifier
https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/24/13269/2024/
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2024-12-02