Assessing the incremental contribution of common genomic variants to melanoma risk prediction in two population-based studies
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
It is unclear to what degree genomic and traditional (phenotypic and environmental) risk factors overlap in their prediction of melanoma risk. We evaluated the incremental contribution of common genomic variants (in pigmentation, nevus, and other pathways) and their overlap with traditional risk factors, using data from two population-based case-control studies from Australia (n = 1,035) and the United Kingdom (n = 1,460) that used the same questionnaires. Polygenic risk scores were derived from 21 gene regions associated with melanoma and odds ratios from published meta-analyses. Logistic regression models were adjusted for age, sex, center, and ancestry. Adding the polygenic risk score to a model with traditional risk factors increased the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) by 2.3% (P = 0.003) for Australia and by 2.8% (P = 0.002) for Leeds. Gene variants in the pigmentation pathway, particularly MC1R, were responsible for most of the incremental improvement. In a cross-tabulation of polygenic by traditional tertile risk scores, 59% (Australia) and 49% (Leeds) of participants were categorized in the same (concordant) tertile. Of participants with low traditional risk, 9% (Australia) and 21% (Leeds) had high polygenic risk. Testing of genomic variants can identify people who are susceptible to melanoma despite not having a traditional phenotypic risk profile.
Date Issued
2018-12-01
Date Acceptance
2018-05-30
Citation
Journal of Investigative Dermatology, 2018, 138 (12), pp.2617-2624
ISSN
0022-202X
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
2617
End Page
2624
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Investigative Dermatology
Volume
138
Issue
12
Copyright Statement
© 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier, Inc. on behalf of the Society for Investigative Dermatology. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Identifier
http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000450431000033&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Dermatology
SKIN-CANCER PREVENTION
CUTANEOUS MELANOMA
GENETIC RISK
MC1R GENOTYPE
METAANALYSIS
INFORMATION
LOCI
NEVI
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2018-06-08