Validating a methodology to measure frailty syndromes at hospital level utilising administrative data.
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Published version
Author(s)
Soong, John Ty
Rolph, Giles
Poots, Alan J
Bell, Derek
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Identifying older people with clinical frailty, reliably and at scale, is a research priority. We measured frailty in older people using a novel methodology coding frailty syndromes on routinely collected administrative data, developed on a national English secondary care population, and explored its performance of predicting inpatient mortality and long length of stay at a single acute hospital. METHODOLOGY: We included patient spells from Secondary User Service (SUS) data for those ≥65 years with attendance to the emergency department or admission to West Middlesex University Hospital between 01 July 2016 to 01 July 2017. We created eight groups of frailty syndromes using diagnostic coding groups. We used descriptive statistics and logistic regression to explore performance of diagnostic coding groups for the above outcomes. RESULTS: We included 17,199 patient episodes in the analysis. There was at least one frailty syndrome present in 7,004 (40.7%) patient episodes. The resultant model had moderate discrimination for inpatient mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.74; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72-0.76) and upper quartile length of stay (AUC 0.731; 95% CI 0.722-0.741). There was good negative predictive value for inpatient mortality (98.1%). CONCLUSIONS: Coded frailty syndromes significantly predict outcomes. Model diagnostics suggest the model could be used for screening of elderly patients to optimise their care.
Date Issued
2020-03
Date Acceptance
2020-03-01
Citation
Clinical medicine (London, England), 2020, 20 (2), pp.183-188
ISSN
1470-2118
Publisher
Royal College of Physicians
Start Page
183
End Page
188
Journal / Book Title
Clinical medicine (London, England)
Volume
20
Issue
2
Identifier
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32188656
PII: 20/2/183
Subjects
Frailty
administrative data
hospital
older people
risk prediction
Publication Status
Published
Coverage Spatial
England
Date Publish Online
2020-03-18