Bayesian material flow analysis of the construction aggregate cycle in England
File(s)1-s2.0-S092134492500014X-main.pdf (3.35 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Quantitative analysis of material over their life cycles provides crucial insight into the movement of materials within economies, informing economic and environmental impact assessment, and governmental and industrial interventions. Material Flow Analysis (MFA) for whole material cycles is often hindered by data gaps, limiting its practical value. We apply Bayesian Material Flow Analysis (BaMFA) to quantify England's 2019 construction aggregates (sand, gravel, crushed rock) system, reducing the labour-intensive manual data reconciliation requirement of conventional MFA approaches. Despite industry-reported data describing only 20 % of the system, BaMFA fully quantifies the system, provides novel insights into its supply-demand balance, and highlights opportunities for enhanced resource efficiency and waste minimisation. This includes improved quantification of primary aggregate consumption (142 Mt, 68 % from indigenous sources) and landfilling (20 Mt, 96 % demolition waste). This research demonstrates the potential of BaMFA for quantitative analysis of material systems and evidence-based action for more sustainable and resilient futures.
Date Issued
2025-04-01
Date Acceptance
2025-01-16
Citation
Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2025, 215
ISSN
0921-3449
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Journal / Book Title
Resources, Conservation and Recycling
Volume
215
Copyright Statement
© 2025 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
License URL
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
108135
Date Publish Online
2025-01-25