The persistent effect of initial success: evidence from venture capital
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Published version
Author(s)
Nanda, Ramana
Samila, Sampsa
Sorenson, Olav
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We use investment-level data to study performance persistence in venture capital (VC). Consistent with prior studies, we find that each additional IPO among a VC firm's first ten investments predicts as much as an 8% higher IPO rate on its subsequent investments, though this effect erodes with time. In exploring its sources, we document several additional facts: successful outcomes stem in large part from investing in the right places at the right times; VC firms do not persist in their ability to choose the right places and times to invest; but early success does lead to investing in later rounds and in larger syndicates. This pattern of results seems most consistent with the idea that initial success improves access to deal flow. That preferential access raises the quality of subsequent investments, perpetuating performance differences in initial investments.
Date Issued
2020-07-01
Date Acceptance
2019-05-30
Citation
Journal of Financial Economics, 2020, 137 (1), pp.231-248
ISSN
0304-405X
Publisher
Elsevier
Start Page
231
End Page
248
Journal / Book Title
Journal of Financial Economics
Volume
137
Issue
1
Copyright Statement
© 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Identifier
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304405X20300337?via%3Dihub
Subjects
Social Sciences
Business, Finance
Economics
Business & Economics
Venture capital
Performance
Monitoring
Selection
Status
PRIVATE EQUITY PERFORMANCE
FUND INFLOWS
MONEY
CENTRALITY
NETWORKS
RETURNS
MARKET
IMPACT
FIRMS
Finance
1402 Applied Economics
1502 Banking, Finance and Investment
1606 Political Science
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2020-02-01