Body mass index, abdominal fatness, fat mass and the risk of atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and dose–response meta-analysis of prospective studies
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Author(s)
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Different adiposity measures have been associ-
ated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation, however,
results have previously only been summarized for BMI.
We therefore conducted a systematic review and meta-
analysis of prospective studies to clarify the association
between different adiposity measures and risk of atrial
fibrillation. PubMed and Embase databases were searched
up to October 24th 2016. Summary relative risks (RRs)
were calculated using random effects models. Twenty-nine
unique prospective studies (32 publications) were included.
Twenty-five studies (83,006 cases, 2,405,381 participants)
were included in the analysis of BMI and atrial fibrillation.
The summary RR was 1.28 (95% confidence interval:
1.20–1.38, I
2
=
97%) per 5 unit increment in BMI, 1.18
(95% CI: 1.12–1.25, I
2
=
73%, n
=
5) and 1.32 (95% CI:
1.16–1.51, I
2
=
91%, n
=
3) per 10 cm increase in waist
and hip circumference, respectively, 1.09 (95% CI:
1.02–1.16, I
2
=
44%, n
=
4) per 0.1 unit increase in waist-
to-hip ratio, 1.09 (95% CI: 1.02–1.16, I
2
=
94%, n
=
4)
per 5 kg increase in fat mass, 1.10 (95% CI: 0.92–1.33,
I
2
=
90%, n
=
3) per 10% increase in fat percentage,
1.10 (95% CI: 1.08–1.13, I
2
=
74%, n
=
10) per 5 kg
increase in weight, and 1.08 (95% CI: 0.97–1.19,
I
2
=
86%, n
=
2) per 5% increase in weight gain. The
association between BMI and atrial fibrillation was non-
linear,
p
nonlinearity
\
0.0001, with a stronger association at
higher BMI levels, however, increased risk was observed
even at a BMI of 22–24 compared to 20. In conclusion,
general and abdominal adiposity and higher body fat mass
increase the risk of atrial fibrillation.
ated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation, however,
results have previously only been summarized for BMI.
We therefore conducted a systematic review and meta-
analysis of prospective studies to clarify the association
between different adiposity measures and risk of atrial
fibrillation. PubMed and Embase databases were searched
up to October 24th 2016. Summary relative risks (RRs)
were calculated using random effects models. Twenty-nine
unique prospective studies (32 publications) were included.
Twenty-five studies (83,006 cases, 2,405,381 participants)
were included in the analysis of BMI and atrial fibrillation.
The summary RR was 1.28 (95% confidence interval:
1.20–1.38, I
2
=
97%) per 5 unit increment in BMI, 1.18
(95% CI: 1.12–1.25, I
2
=
73%, n
=
5) and 1.32 (95% CI:
1.16–1.51, I
2
=
91%, n
=
3) per 10 cm increase in waist
and hip circumference, respectively, 1.09 (95% CI:
1.02–1.16, I
2
=
44%, n
=
4) per 0.1 unit increase in waist-
to-hip ratio, 1.09 (95% CI: 1.02–1.16, I
2
=
94%, n
=
4)
per 5 kg increase in fat mass, 1.10 (95% CI: 0.92–1.33,
I
2
=
90%, n
=
3) per 10% increase in fat percentage,
1.10 (95% CI: 1.08–1.13, I
2
=
74%, n
=
10) per 5 kg
increase in weight, and 1.08 (95% CI: 0.97–1.19,
I
2
=
86%, n
=
2) per 5% increase in weight gain. The
association between BMI and atrial fibrillation was non-
linear,
p
nonlinearity
\
0.0001, with a stronger association at
higher BMI levels, however, increased risk was observed
even at a BMI of 22–24 compared to 20. In conclusion,
general and abdominal adiposity and higher body fat mass
increase the risk of atrial fibrillation.
Date Issued
2017-02-13
Date Acceptance
2017-02-01
Citation
European Journal of Epidemiology, 2017, 32 (3), pp.181-192
ISSN
1573-7284
Publisher
Springer Verlag (Germany)
Start Page
181
End Page
192
Journal / Book Title
European Journal of Epidemiology
Volume
32
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© The Author(s) 2017. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Obesity
BMI
Waist circumference
Hip circumference
Waist-to-hip ratio
Fat mass
Fat percentage
Atrial fibrillation
Meta analysis
LEFT-VENTRICULAR HYPERTROPHY
OBSTRUCTIVE SLEEP-APNEA
MIDDLE-AGED MEN
CARDIOVASCULAR-DISEASE
HEART-FAILURE
FOLLOW-UP
INSULIN-RESISTANCE
PROSPECTIVE COHORT
METABOLIC SYNDROME
EPICARDIAL FAT
Meta-analysis
Epidemiology
1117 Public Health And Health Services
Publication Status
Published