Regionalization of land-use impacts on streamflow using a network of paired catchments
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Published version
Accepted version
Author(s)
Ochoa-Tocachi, B
Buytaert, W
De Bièvre, B
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Quantifying the impact of land use and cover (LUC) change on catchment hydrological response is essential for land-use planning and management. Yet hydrologists are often not able to present consistent and reliable evidence to support such decision-making. The issue tends to be twofold: a scarcity of relevant observations, and the difficulty of regionalizing any existing observations. This study explores the potential of a paired catchment monitoring network to provide statistically robust, regionalized predictions of LUC change impact in an environment of high hydrological variability. We test the importance of LUC variables to explain hydrological responses and to improve regionalized predictions using 24 catchments distributed along the Tropical Andes. For this, we calculate first 50 physical catchment properties, and then select a subset based on correlation analysis. The reduced set is subsequently used to regionalize a selection of hydrological indices using multiple linear regression. Contrary to earlier studies, we find that incorporating LUC variables in the regional model structures increases significantly regression performance and predictive capacity for 66% of the indices. For the runoff ratio, baseflow index, and slope of the flow duration curve, the mean absolute error reduces by 53% and the variance of the residuals by 79%, on average. We attribute the explanatory capacity of LUC in the regional model to the pairwise monitoring setup, which increases the contrast of the land-use signal in the data set. As such, it may be a useful strategy to optimize data collection to support watershed management practices and improve decision-making in data-scarce regions.
Date Issued
2016-09-03
Date Acceptance
2016-08-13
Citation
Water Resources Research, 2016, 52 (9), pp.6710-6729
ISSN
1944-7973
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Start Page
6710
End Page
6729
Journal / Book Title
Water Resources Research
Volume
52
Issue
9
Copyright Statement
© 2016. The Authors.This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
License URL
Sponsor
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
Imperial College London
Natural Environment Research Council [2006-2012]
Secretaria Nacional de Educación Superior, Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación
Identifier
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016WR018596
Grant Number
NE/K010239/1
NE/J016578/1
NE/I004017/1
President's PhD Scholarship
NE/L002515/1
Beca Universidades de Excelencia 2013
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Physical Sciences
Environmental Sciences
Limnology
Water Resources
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
Marine & Freshwater Biology
regionalization
land-use change
hydrological indices
paired catchments
prediction in ungauged basins
Andes
RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELS
HYDROLOGIC ALTERATION
UNGAUGED CATCHMENTS
WATER YIELD
PARAMETER-ESTIMATION
FLOW VARIABILITY
RIVER-BASIN
PREDICTIONS
DESCRIPTORS
BASEFLOW
Environmental Engineering
0406 Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience
0905 Civil Engineering
0907 Environmental Engineering
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2016-08-18