Repository logo
  • Log In
    Log in via Symplectic to deposit your publication(s).
Repository logo
  • Communities & Collections
  • Research Outputs
  • Statistics
  • Log In
    Log in via Symplectic to deposit your publication(s).
  1. Home
  2. Faculty of Natural Sciences
  3. Centre for Environmental Policy
  4. Centre for Environmental Policy
  5. Integrated assessment modelling of future air quality in the UK to 2050, and synergies with net-zero strategies
 
  • Details
Integrated assessment modelling of future air quality in the UK to 2050, and synergies with net-zero strategies
File(s)
atmosphere-14-00525.pdf (4.85 MB)
Published version
Author(s)
ApSimon, Helen
Oxley, Tim
Woodward, Huw
Mehlig, Daniel
Holland, Mike
more
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Integrated assessment modelling (IAM) has been successfully used in the development of international agreements to reduce transboundary pollution in Europe, based on the GAINS model of IIASA. At a national level in the UK, a similar approach has been taken with the UK Integrated Assessment Model, UKIAM, superimposing pollution abatement measures and behavioural change on energy projections designed to meet targets set for the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and allowing for natural and imported contributions from other countries and shipping. This paper describes how the UKIAM was used in the development of proposed targets for the reduction of fine particulate PM2.5 in the UK Environment Act, exploring scenarios encompassing different levels of ambition in reducing the emissions of air pollutants up to 2050, with associated health and other environmental benefits. There are two PM2.5 targets, an annual mean concentration target setting a maximum concentration to be reached by a future year, and a population exposure reduction target with benefits for health across the whole population. The work goes further, also demonstrating links to social deprivation. There is a strong connection between climate measures aimed at reducing net GHG emissions to zero by 2050 and future air quality, which may be positive or negative, as illustrated by sectoral studies for road transport where electrification of the fleet needs to match the evolution of energy production, and for domestic heating, where the use of wood for heating is an air quality issue. The UKIAM has been validated against air pollution measurements and other types of modelling, but there are many uncertainties, including future energy projections.
Date Issued
2023-03-09
Date Acceptance
2023-03-07
Citation
Atmosphere, 2023, 14 (3), pp.1-21
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/103417
URL
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/3/525
DOI
https://www.dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos14030525
ISSN
2073-4433
Publisher
MDPI AG
Start Page
1
End Page
21
Journal / Book Title
Atmosphere
Volume
14
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© 2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
License URL
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Identifier
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/3/525
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
525
Date Publish Online
2023-03-09
About
Spiral Depositing with Spiral Publishing with Spiral Symplectic
Contact us
Open access team Report an issue
Other Services
Scholarly Communications Library Services
logo

Imperial College London

South Kensington Campus

London SW7 2AZ, UK

tel: +44 (0)20 7589 5111

Accessibility Modern slavery statement Cookie Policy

Built with DSpace-CRIS software - Extension maintained and optimized by 4Science

  • Cookie settings
  • Privacy policy
  • End User Agreement
  • Send Feedback