Day-to-day dynamic traffic assignment with imperfect information, bounded rationality and information sharing
File(s)1811.10729v4.pdf (1.55 MB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Yu, Yang
Han, Ke
Ochieng, Washington
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
This paper presents a doubly dynamic day-to-day (DTD) traffic assignment model with simultaneous route-and-departure-time (SRDT) choices while incorporating incomplete and imperfect information as well as bounded rationality. Two SRDT choice models are proposed to incorporate imperfect travel information: One based on multinomial Logit (MNL) model and the other on sequential, mixed multinomial/nested Logit model. These two variants, serving as base models, are further extended with two features: bounded rationality (BR) and information sharing. BR is considered by incorporating the indifference band into the random utility component of the MNL model, forming a BR-based DTD stochastic model. A macroscopic model of travel information sharing is integrated into the DTD dynamics to account for the impact of incomplete information on travelers’ SRDT choices. These DTD choice models are combined with within-day dynamics following the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards (LWR) fluid dynamic network loading model. Simulations on large-scale networks (Anaheim) illustrate the interactions between users’ adaptive decision making and network conditions (including local disruption) with different levels of information availability and user behavior. Our findings highlight the need for modeling network transient and disequilibriated states, which are often overlooked in equilibrium-constrained network design and optimization. The MATLAB package and computational examples are available at https://github.com/DrKeHan/DTD.
Date Issued
2020-05
Date Acceptance
2020-02-03
Citation
Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 2020, 114, pp.59-83
ISSN
0968-090X
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Start Page
59
End Page
83
Journal / Book Title
Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies
Volume
114
Copyright Statement
Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2020.02.004
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2020-02-15