Modelling and optimisation of extinction actions for wildfire suppression
File(s)
Author(s)
Petersen, Jonas E
Kapur, Saaras
Gkantonas, Savvas
Mastorakos, Epaminondas
Giusti, Andrea
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
A physics-based model for the prediction of wildfire propagation, which combines the cellular automata concept with virtual Lagrangian fire particles, is further developed to include fire extinction actions. Deposition of water and firebreaks are included in the formulation. The fire propagation model is then coupled with a Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) algorithm to optimize the allocation of fire extinction actions. Starting from an ignited fire, and fixing the amount of resources available for firefighting, the model suggests which series of actions minimizes the loss of wildland. The model has been assessed and validated with model fires and then applied to a realistic scenario. MCTS optimization is found to autonomously outperform human intuition for medium-scale fires and to successfully enhance human decision-making capabilities for large-scale fires with the use of convolution-based terrain re-sampling. This study opens up new possibilities for the development of decision-making tools to assist the real-time allocation of firefighting resources as well as to support the design of preventive measures to preserve the environment and reduce the potential impact of wildfires.
Date Issued
2023-09-11
Date Acceptance
2023-06-15
Citation
Combustion Science and Technology, 2023, 195 (14), pp.3584-3595
ISSN
0010-2202
Publisher
Taylor and Francis Group
Start Page
3584
End Page
3595
Journal / Book Title
Combustion Science and Technology
Volume
195
Issue
14
Copyright Statement
© 2023 The Author(s). Published with license by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License (http://creativecom mons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The terms on which this article has been published allow the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent.
License URL
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2023-09-11