How to provide useful attribution statements - Lessons learned from operationalising event attribution in Europe
Author(s)
Otto, Friederike
Kew, Sarah
Philip, Sjoukje
Stott, Peter
van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
In the immediate aftermath of an extreme weather or climate-related event, the question is invariably asked whether and to what extent it was influenced by anthropogenic climate change. As a trusted source of weather information, National Meteorological Services (NMSs) in particular are facing this question and given their status as government services they are expected to answer, leading to calls for operationalising event attribution studies. Under the umbrella of Copernicus, the European climate service provider, a team of scientists and several national Met Services started a pilot project, following established protocols (van Oldenborgh et al. 2021; Philip et al. 2020) to test whether the task of attributing individual weather extremes can now be taken over by an operational service for the simpler extremes (cold and hot extremes, large-scale heavy rainfall).
Date Issued
2022-03-01
Date Acceptance
2022-02-10
Citation
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2022, 103 (3), pp.S21-S25
ISSN
1520-0477
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Start Page
S21
End Page
S25
Journal / Book Title
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume
103
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© 2022 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).
Subjects
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
0201 Astronomical and Space Sciences
0401 Atmospheric Sciences
0406 Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience
Publication Status
Published
Date Publish Online
2022-03-31