El Niño drought and tropical forest conversion synergistically determine mosquito development rate
File(s)Gregory-et-al_2019_Environ._Res._Lett.pdf (475.9 KB)
Accepted version
Author(s)
Gregory, Nichar
Ewers, Robert M
Chung, Arthur YC
Cator, Lauren J
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
Extreme warming events can profoundly alter the transmission dynamics of mosquito–borne diseases by affecting the physiology of mosquito vectors. At local scales, temperatures are determined largely by vegetation structure and can be dramatically altered by drivers of land-use change (e.g. forest conversion). Disturbance activities can also hinder the buffering capacity of natural habitats, making them more susceptible to seasonal climate variation and extreme weather events (e.g. droughts). Using experiments spanning three years, we demonstrate that variation in microclimates due to forest conversion dramatically increases development rates in Aedes albopictus mosquitoes. However, this effect was mediated by an El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) drought event. In normal years, mean temperatures did not differ between land-use types, however mosquitoes reared in oil palm plantations typically emerged 2-3 days faster than in logged forests. During an ENSO drought, mean temperatures did differ between land-use types, but surprisingly this did not result in different mosquito development rates. Driving this idiosyncratic response may be the differences in daily temperature fluctuations between the land-use types that either push mosquito larvae towards optimal development, or over the thermal optimum, thereby reducing fitness. This work highlights the importance of considering the synergistic effects of land-use and seasonal climate variations for predicting a key disease transmission-relevant mosquito trait.
Date Issued
2019-03-06
Date Acceptance
2019-01-21
Citation
Environmental Research Letters, 2019, 14 (3)
ISSN
1748-9326
Publisher
Institute of Physics (IoP)
Journal / Book Title
Environmental Research Letters
Volume
14
Issue
3
Copyright Statement
© 2018 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. This article has been published on a gold open access basis under a CC BY 3.0 licence (https://creativecommons.org/licences/by/3.0).
Sponsor
Natural Environment Research Council [2006-2012]
Rainforest Research Sdn Bhd
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)
Grant Number
NE/L002515/1
LBEE_P34395
NE/P00363X/1
Subjects
Science & Technology
Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Physical Sciences
Environmental Sciences
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
El Nino
drought
Aedes albopictus
tropical forest
oil palm
mosquitoes
AEDES-ALBOPICTUS DIPTERA
SENSU-STRICTO DIPTERA
OIL PALM
HOST-SEEKING
TEMPERATURE-FLUCTUATIONS
MALARIA TRANSMISSION
AEGYPTI DIPTERA
ADULT SIZE
MICROCLIMATE
CULICIDAE
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Publication Status
Published
Article Number
035003
Date Publish Online
2019-01-21